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2002, No. 20
Posted 2002-08-03

Was the Recent Economic Downturn a Recession?

by Jeremy M. Piger

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announced that the U.S. economy entered a recession in March 2001. Some have questioned whether the recent downturn really qualifies as a recession, as by some measures it has been quite mild. For example, the broadest measure of the economy’s output, real gross domestic product (GDP), experienced only a modest decline in the current recession. However, given that more timely measures of economic activity are available, the NBER gives relatively little weight to GDP in determining recession dates.